Probabilità di Vincita

Per garantire piena trasparenza e in conformità al decreto legge Balduzzi del 13 settembre 2012 n. 158 convertito con modifiche dalla legge dell'8 novembre 2012 n. 189, Betway indica le modalità con cui sono determinate le probabilità di vincita riguardanti le scommesse sportive a quota fissa offerte. A differenza dei giochi di sorte tradizionali, in cui la probabilità di vincita è nota in partenza, nelle scommesse a quota fissa, è la quota assegnata ad un evento ad esprimere la probabilitá che si verifichi quell'evento. La quota è un valore soggettivo, che il concessionario assegna ad ogni evento tramite elaborazioni statistiche, conoscenze, informazioni ecc.

Facciamo l'esempio di una partita di calcio, e sulle quote associate al risultato finale dell'incontro:

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



1,9



3,4



4



Tanto è minore la quota proposta su un evento (la vittoria dell'Arsenal ad esempio) tanto è maggiore la probabilità che questo evento si verifichi. Per ottenere la probabilità in percentuale, si deve dividere il fattore 100 per ogni quota (es. 100/1.9 = 52.6), ottenendo questi quozienti:

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



52,6



29,4



25,0



Con un rapido calcolo, è evidente che la somma dei tre quozienti, non faccia 100, ma un valore sempre più grande, che viene chiamato lavagna (o allibramento) e che rappresenta il margine di intermediazione teorico che ogni bookmaker trattiene nella formulazione delle quote, nel nostro caso: lavagna 107,04

Questo significa che le reali probabilità associate alla vittoria dell'Arsenal, al pareggio e alla vittoria del Tottenham (calcolate al netto della lavagna) saranno ottenute dividendo ulteriormente i quozienti ottenuti per la lavagna calcolata: per esempio la probabilità percentuale della vittoria dell'Arsenal è dato dall'equazione: 107,04:52,6=100:X da cui ne deriva che X= 49,1%.

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



49,1



27,5



23,4



E che il Payout teorico associato all'evento (Quello che otterrebbe in vincite lo scommettitore che puntasse su tutti gli esiti possibili dell'incontro, proporzionalmente alle quote) sarebbe il 93,42% (100/lavagna).

Le percentuali di pagamento dei giochi (RTP*)

La quota della raccolta totale restituita al giocatore sotto forma di vincite su base statistica, è pari ad almeno il 90% della raccolta stessa. In conformità con quanto previsto dall'Agenzia delle Dogane e dei Monopoli, riportiamo di seguito la tabella con i valori percentuali di pagamento (payout) mensili di ciascun gioco offerto da Betway.

*Restituzione Media al Giocatore. Il compenso del concessionario, a lordo delle imposte su base statistica, è il complemento a 1 della quota restituita al giocatore. Per esempio: se un gioco ha un RTP del 98,85%, il compenso del concessionario sarà di 1,15% ( (1- 98,85%) x 100 = 1,15%).

  

GIUGNO

Slot a 3 rulli

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

108 Heroes Multiplier Fortunes     100.64% 96.15%
Break da Bank     90.54% 95.75%
Cash Clams 87.67%     94.99%
Couch Potato 53.33%     97.43%
Couch Potato     104.14% 97.43%
Diamond Empire     91.54% 96.04%
Fortune Cookie 132.38%     95.58%
Froot Loot 91.91%     97.17%
Fruit Slots 111.29%     92.87%
Goblins Gold 76.54%     95.24%
Jackpot Express 163.79%     93.23%
Mega Money Multiplier     87.96% 96.15%
Reels Royce 124.90%     95.89%
Wacky Panda   86.70%   95.94%
Wacky Panda     96.00% 95.94%
Jewel Thief 32.53%     95.24%
Sizzling Scorpions 50.00%     96.24%
Cool Buck 65.66%     95.29%
Astronomical 179.21%     95.05%
Rapid Reels 56.41%     94.95%
Legacy 12.04%     95.75%
Wheel of Wealth 31.09%     96.04%
Slot a 5 rulli

 

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

108 Heroes     92.25% 95.56%
A Dark Matter   106.73%   96.18%
A Dark Matter     94.00% 96.18%
Action Ops: Snow and Sable     89.62% 96.03%
Adventure Palace 91.67%     96.10%
Adventure Palace     93.39% 96.10%
Age of Discovery 96.88%     96.62%
Age of Discovery     94.73% 96.62%
Agent Jane Blonde     101.86% 96.10%
Agent Jane Blonde Returns     94.44% 96.45%
Agent Jane Blonde Returns   89.99%   96.45%
Alaskan Fishing 108.74%     96.63%
Alaskan Fishing     97.81% 96.63%
Ancient Fortunes: Zeus     97.50% 96.02%
Ancient Fortunes: Zeus   90.67%   96.02%
Ariana     91.28% 95.48%
Astro Legends: Lyra and Erion   62.42%   96.63%
Astro Legends: Lyra and Erion     67.34% 96.63%
Aurora Wilds   100.69%   96.02%
Aurora Wilds     93.71% 96.02%
Avalon     97.36% 96.01%
Banana Odyssey   108.23%   96.31%
Banana Odyssey     98.88% 96.31%
Bar Bar Black Sheep 5 Reel 93.81%     95.32%
Bar Bar Black Sheep 5 Reel     104.28% 95.32%
Bars & Stripes 72.70%     96.10%
Basketball Star     91.86% 96.52%
Basketball Star 91.67%     96.52%
Battlestar Galactica TM 87.09%     96.60%
Beautiful Bones     94.31% 96.55%
Beautiful Bones   86.09%   96.55%
Big Kahuna 99.72%     96.16%
Big Kahuna     90.90% 96.16%
Big Kahuna - Snakes and Ladders 82.71%     95.53%
Big Top 98.38%     95.80%
Big Top     94.09% 95.80%
Bikini Party 95.09%     97.49%
Bikini Party     83.25% 97.49%
Book of Oz     95.77% 96.31%
Book of Oz Lock 'N Spin     88.73% 96.35%
Book of Oz Lock 'N Spin   94.44%   96.35%
Bookie of Odds     98.34% 96.50%
Boom Pirates     92.14% 96.03%
Break Away     94.26% 96.29%
Break Away Delux     93.47% 96.88%
Break Away Delux 89.79%     96.88%
Break da Bank Again 87.62%     95.75%
Break da Bank Again     100.06% 95.75%
Break da Bank Again - Megaspin 102.84%     95.43%
Break da Bank Again Respin     106.14% 96.58%
Bridesmaids TM 68.01%     96.71%
Bridesmaids TM     98.35% 96.71%
Burning Desire 101.89%     96.19%
Burning Desire     88.59% 96.19%
Bush Telegraph 101.82%     96.56%
Bush Telegraph     97.52% 96.56%
Candy Dreams 206.68%     96.82%
Candy Dreams     116.35% 96.82%
Carnaval 100.33%     95.80%
Carnaval     90.11% 95.80%
Cash Of Kingdoms     87.35% 96.28%
Cash Of Kingdoms   94.42%   96.28%
Cashanova 90.67%     96.41%
Cashapillar     91.72% 95.13%
Cashville 85.02%     95.98%
Centre Court 92.59%     95.51%
Cool Buck     101.66% 95.29%
Crazy Chameleons 43.99%     96.07%
Deck the Halls 114.47%     95.38%
Deck the Halls     86.69% 95.38%
Deco Diamonds     91.84% 96.03%
Deco Diamonds   94.98%   96.03%
Deco Diamonds Deluxe     98.44% 96.03%
Deco Diamonds Deluxe   87.82%   96.03%
Dino Might 104.63%     96.42%
Dragon Dance 113.18%     97.49%
Dragon Dance     89.85% 97.49%
Dragon Shard     94.60% 96.77%
Dragon Shard   79.11%   96.77%
Dragonz 105.95%     96.46%
Dragonz     89.21% 96.46%
Dream Date     76.16% 96.45%
Dream Date   79.39%   96.45%
Eagle's Wings 107.47%     96.47%
Eagle's Wings     91.22% 96.47%
EmotiCoins     77.97% 96.01%
EmotiCoins   109.84%   96.01%
Exotic Cats™     88.64% 96.33%
Exotic Cats™   125.51%   96.33%
Final Furlong     84.56% 96.10%
Final Furlong   89.78%   96.10%
Football Star     91.05% 96.29%
Forbidden Throne     96.81% 96.01%
Fortune Girl     93.83% 95.86%
Fortune Girl   82.69%   95.86%
Fortunium     92.68% 96.37%
Fortunium   107.82%   96.37%
Fruit vs Candy 84.79%     95.77%
Fruit vs Candy     144.85% 95.77%
Game Of Thrones TM - 15 Lines 175.21%     95.01%
Game of Thrones TM - 15 Lines     254.15% 95.01%
Game Of Thrones TM - 243 Ways 88.42%     95.00%
Game of Thrones TM - 243 Ways     83.12% 95.00%
Goldwyn’s Fairies     96.58% 96.28%
Goldwyn’s Fairies   119.86%   96.28%
Gopher Gold 65.29%     96.28%
Great Griffin 86.52%     96.79%
Halloween     80.89% 96.01%
Happy Holidays 107.83%     96.62%
Happy Holidays     89.24% 96.62%
Highlander   87.34%   96.23%
Highlander     99.66% 96.23%
Hitman 84.88%     95.84%
Hitman     92.66% 95.84%
Ho Ho Ho 114.51%     95.88%
Holly Jolly Penguins     91.85% 96.01%
Hot Ink 100.70%     97.50%
Icy Gems     82.83% 96.03%
Icy Gems   85.01%   96.03%
Immortal Romance 94.86%     96.86%
Immortal Romance     97.63% 96.86%
Isis 103.21%     95.15%
Jungle Jim – El Dorado 92.03%     96.31%
Jungle Jim – El Dorado     89.42% 96.31%
Jungle Jim and the Lost Sphinx     106.50% 96.10%-96.30%
Jungle Jim and the Lost Sphinx   84.56%   96.10%-96.30%
Jurassic Park TM 73.22%     96.67%
Jurassic World     90.90% 95.45%
Jurassic World   94.55%   95.45%
Karaoke Party 105.82%     96.10%
Karaoke Party     112.52% 96.10%
Karate Pig 101.51%     96.52%
King Tusk     85.21% 96.43%
King Tusk   94.54%   96.43%
Kings of Cash     97.70% 96.68%
Ladies Nite 93.85%     96.10%
Ladies Nite     92.49% 96.10%
Lady in Red 93.88%     96.25%
Lara Croft Temples and Tombs   91.31%   96.05%
Lara Croft Temples and Tombs     93.85% 96.05%
Le Kaffee Bar     94.07% 96.51%
Le Kaffee Bar   144.89%   96.51%
Loaded     129.39% 96.29%
Lock A Luck     91.78% 96.37%
Lock A Luck   102.73%   96.37%
Lost Vegas 115.51%     95.77%
Lost Vegas     82.42% 95.77%
Love Island     113.17% 96.39%
Love Island   83.11%   96.39%
Lucha Legends     93.46% 96.38%
Lucha Legends   104.43%   96.38%
Lucky Firecracker     58.42% 96.19%
Lucky Firecracker   94.48%   96.19%
Lucky Leprechaun   113.10%   96.33%
Lucky Little Gods     92.21% 96.75%
Lucky Little Gods   85.07%   96.75%
Lucky Witch 81.90%     96.40%
Magic of Sahara     92.56% 95.29%
Magic of Sahara   87.90%   95.29%
Mermaids Millions 87.80%     96.56%
Mermaids Millions     95.13% 96.56%
Monster Wheels   83.45%   96.04%
Moster Wheels     71.85% 96.04%
Nevada Nights     92.75% 96.10%
Nevada Nights   87.93%   96.10%
NIP     99.28% 96.10%
NIP   126.43%   96.10%
North Storm     98.45% 96.13%
North Storm   113.64%   96.13%
Oink Country Love     70.98% 96.01%
Oriental Fortune 119.59%     96.07%
Playboy 102.40%     96.54%
Pollen Party 122.00%     96.82%
Pollen Party     93.12% 96.82%
Pretty Kitty 76.33%     96.17%
Pretty Kitty     47.70% 96.17%
Pure Platinum 96.13%     96.49%
Pure Platinum     99.78% 96.49%
Rabbit In The Hat     96.31% 96.61%
Rabbit In The Hat   84.14%   96.61%
Reel Gems 92.95%     96.51%
Reel Spinner 124.16%     96.38%
Reel Spinner     83.06% 96.38%
Reel Talent     30.01% 96.03%
Reel Talent   103.23%   96.03%
Retro Reels 77.66%     96.02%
Retro Reels - Diamond Glitz 101.46%     96.47%
Retro Reels - Extreme Heat 85.12%     97.50%
Rhyming Reels Old King Cole 123.69%     96.15%
Rising Royals     91.47% 96.01%
Rising Royals   108.24%   96.01%
Riviera Riches     88.33% 96.51%
Robin of Sherwood™     100.06% 95.80%
Robin of Sherwood™   87.21%   95.80%
Rockabilly Wolves     89.76% 96.03%
Rockabilly Wolves   98.55%   96.03%
Romanov Riches     93.77% 96.08%
Santa's Wild Ride 92.78%     96.47%
Secret Admirer 54.06%     96.08%
Secret Admirer     92.64% 96.08%
Secret Romance     90.83% 95.86%
Secret Romance   103.62%   95.86%
Sherlock of London   72.54%   96.03%
Sherlock of London     99.88% 96.03%
Shogun of Time     85.23% 96.02%
Shogun of TIme   100.56%   96.02%
Shoot! 97.44%     96.43%
Showdown Saloon     105.81% 96.16%
Silver Fang 128.63%     96.30%
Silver Fang     100.41% 96.30%
Six Acrobats     96.39% 95.43%
Six Acrobats   91.44%   95.43%
Soccer Safari 135.09%     96.54%
Spring Break 98.39%     96.10%
Spring Break     53.94% 96.10%
Starlight Kiss     97.14% 96.52%
Stash of the Titans     96.42% 95.07%
Sugar Parade     81.38% 96.56%
SunQuest 81.60%     96.95%
SunTide 90.05%     96.28%
SunTide     89.18% 96.28%
Supe It Up 113.43%     95.22%
Supe it Up     97.12% 95.22%
Sure Win 95.92%     96.29%
Sure Win     90.19% 96.29%
Tally Ho 85.59%     95.87%
Tally Ho     96.14% 95.87%
Tarzan 82.09%     96.48%
Tarzan     98.72% 96.48%
Terminator II TM 81.61%     96.62%
The Great Albini   86.15%   96.66%
The Great Albini     89.92% 96.66%
The Phantom of the Opera     94.20% 96.40%
The Phantom of the Opera   89.22%   96.40%
The Rat Pack 100.23%     96.14%
The Twisted Circus     89.64% 96.36%
Thunderstruck     95.24% 96.10%
Thunderstruck II 96.17%     96.65%
Thunderstruck II     95.01% 96.65%
TIki Vikings     84.12% 96.01%
Tiki Vikings   66.37%   96.01%
Tomb Raider Secret of the Sword TM 91.63%     95.22%
Tomb Raider TM 93.82%     96.56%
Tomb Raider TM     96.26% 96.56%
Tweethearts     79.28% 96.02%
Villag People Macho Moves     90.63% 96.00%
Vinyl Countdown 55.63%     95.56%
What on Earth 106.32%     95.98%
Wicked Tales: Dark Red     91.83% 96.10%
Wild Scarabs     105.73% 96.28%
Wild Scarabs   89.66%   96.28%
Win Sum Dim Sum 80.28%     96.28%
Win Sum Dim Sum     96.10% 96.28%
Winning Wizards 119.09%     95.46%
Zombie Hoard     88.23% 95.29%
Zombie Hoard   86.57%   95.29%
9 Masks of Fire   97.53%   96.24%
9 Masks of Fire     97.08% 96.24%
Double Lucky Line     95.25% 96.02%
Double Lucky Line   105.32%   96.02%
Ivory Citadel   88.51%   96.03%
Long Mu Fortunes   91.76%   96.44%
Long Mu Fortunes     88.82% 96.44%
Playboy Gold Jackpots     98.97% 96.08%
Playboy Gold Jackpots   95.91%   96.08%
Stumpy McDoodles   102.16%   96.26%
Thunderstruck   107.47%   96.10%
Tiki Mania   82.23%   96.26%
Tiki Mania     102.89% 96.26%
Action Ops: Snow and Sable   84.35%   96.03%
Book of Oz   106.03%   96.31%
Bookie of Odds   96.49%   96.50%
Break da bank Again Respin   100.76%   96.58%
Festive Indulgence     78.46% 96.10%
Wicked Tales: Dark Red   93.52%   96.10%
Festive Indulgence   89.40%   96.10%
Book of Atem     93.07%  
Book of Atem   96.95%    
Fishing Fever     88.01%  
Fishing Fever   91.26%    
Wonder Woods     92.79%  
Wonder Woods   101.51%    
9 Pots of Gold   95.63%    
African Quest   82.74%    
African Quest     94.36%  
Anderthals   96.81%    
Attack on Retro   85.44%    
Attack on Retro     96.41%  
Diamond Force   90.13%    
Lady Earth     97.54%  
Lady Earth   94.73%    
Mining Fever   96.17%    
Mining Fever     95.30%  
The Vault   86.39%    
Treasure Heroes     94.92%  
Treasure Heroes   100.10%    
Treasure Skyland   103.09%    
9 Pots of Gold     52.75%  
Boom Pirates   97.49%   96.03%
Centre Court     23.99% 95.51%
Ivory Citadel     94.78% 96.03%
Stumpy McDoodles     70.32% 96.26%
SunTide   0.00%   96.28%
Treasure Skyland     77.47%  
Tweethearts   136.82%   96.02%
Slot a 6 rulli e ad espansione

 

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Arctic Valor      97.81% 96.70%
Arctic Valor  120.23%     96.70%
Playboy Gold     110.66% 96.01%
Queen Of The Crystal Rays     102.46% 96.70%
Queen Of The Crystal Rays   91.19%   96.70%
Seven 7s     90.94%  
Seven 7s   83.75%    
Blackjack

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Big Five Blackjack Gold 91.00%     99.55%
European Blackjack Gold     95.63% 99.60%
Hi Lo 13 European Blackjack Gold 92.10%     99.60%
High Streak European Blackjack Gold 91.65%     99.59%
Multi-Hand Classic Blackjack Gold 98.58%     99.42%
Multi-Hand Vegas Downtown Blackjack Gold 97.26%     99.62%
Single Deck Blackjack Gold 97.26%     99.69%
Spanish 21 Blackjack 59.29%     99.51%
Spanish 21 Blackjack GOLD 101.85%     99.51%
Super Fun 21 Blackjack 114.39%     99.10%
Vegas Single Deck Blackjack Gold     99.91% 99.69%
Vegas Strip Blackjack Gold 75.92%     99.65%
Double Exposure Gold 61.76%      
Giochi con Live Dealer

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Evolution - Baccarat     98.69% 98.90%
Evolution - Blackjack     94.60% 99.28%
Evolution - Caribbean Stud Poker     0.00% 99.30%
Evolution - Casino Holdem     95.49% 97.84%
Evolution - Double Ball Roulette     120.18% 97.30%
Evolution - Double Ball Roulette   106.55%   97.30%
Evolution - Dragon Tiger     92.82% 96.27%
Evolution - Dream Catcher     94.02% 99.55%
Evolution - French Roulette     104.85% 98.65%
Evolution - Lightning Roulette     93.73% 97.10%- 97.30%
Evolution - Lightning Roulette   108.30%   97.10%- 97.30%
Evolution - No Commission Baccarat     153.41% 98.76%
Evolution - No Commission Baccarat   61.24%   98.76%
Evolution - Roulette     95.69% 97.30%
Evolution - Texas Holdem Bonus Poker     109.29% 91.46%
Evolution - Three Card Poker     65.00% 96.63%
Football Studio   68.37%   96.27%
Football Studio     89.77% 96.27%
HD - Dream Catcher 104.63%     96.58%
HD Live Baccarat 96.44%     98.94%
HD Live Blackjack 100.36%     99.28%
HD Live Casino Holdem 62.75%     97.84%
HD Live French Roulette 95.87%     98.65%
HD Live Roulette 95.91%     97.30%
Evolution - Dragon Tiger   142.86%   96.27%
HD Live Caribbean Stud Poker 57.14%     96.30%
HD Live Three Card Poker 70.27%     96.63%
Evolution - MONOPOLY Live     99.88%  
Evolution - Texas Holdem Bonus Poker   85.26%   91.46%
Evolution - Deal or No Deal     84.64%  
Evolution - Deal or No Deal   86.93%    
Evolution - Free Bet Blackjack   99.95%    
Evolution - Free Bet Blackjack     87.61%  
Evolution - MONOPOLY Live   72.55%    
Evolution - Super Sic Bo     94.81%  
Evolution - Super Sic Bo   72.44%    
Giochi di società

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Cricket Star Scratchcard   130.12%   95.04%
Cricket Star Scratchcard     80.49% 95.04%
Immortal Romance Scratchcard   76.54%   96.01%
Immortal Romance Scratchcard     73.68% 96.01%
Lucky Leprechaun Scratchcard     82.94% 96.05%
Lucky Leprechaun Scratchcard   76.51%   96.05%
Nevada Nights Scratchcard     112.96% 95.04%
Nevada Nights Scratchcard   81.18%   95.04%
Lost Vegas Survivor Scratchcard     87.05% 96.00%
Lost Vegas Survivors Scratchcard   86.81%   96.00%
Lost Vegas Zombie Scratchcard   119.54%   96.00%
Lost Vegas Zombies Scratchcard     63.27% 96.00%
Avalon Scratch     91.04%  
Avalon Scratch   88.05%    
Roulette

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

American Roulette 2018     99.21% 94.74%
American Roulette 2018   94.92%   94.74%
European Roulette Gold 91.19%     98.92%
French Roulette 98.55%     98.65%
Roulette     97.29% 97.30%
Roulette   94.67%   97.30%
Sapphire Roulette     95.53% 97.30%
Sapphire Roulette   80.76%   97.30%
European Roulette Gold     92.01% 98.92%
Video Poker e Wincrease

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Aces and Faces 91.12%     99.26%
Aces and Faces - 4 Play Power Poker 112.67%     99.26%
Aces and Faces Poker     94.40% 99.26%
All Aces     85.02% 99.92%
All Aces   98.31%   99.92%
Deuces and Joker Multihand 98.15%     99.07%
Deuces Wild     93.49% 96.76%
Deuces Wild Multihand 77.75%     99.37%
Jacks or Better - 4 Play Power Poker 92.82%     99.54%
Tens or Better Multihand 96.52%     99.14%
The Incredible Balloon Machine     94.55%  
The Incredible Balloon Machine   86.29%    

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