Probabilità di Vincita

Per garantire piena trasparenza e in conformità al decreto legge Balduzzi del 13 settembre 2012 n. 158 convertito con modifiche dalla legge dell'8 novembre 2012 n. 189, Betway indica le modalità con cui sono determinate le probabilità di vincita riguardanti le scommesse sportive a quota fissa offerte. A differenza dei giochi di sorte tradizionali, in cui la probabilità di vincita è nota in partenza, nelle scommesse a quota fissa, è la quota assegnata ad un evento ad esprimere la probabilitá che si verifichi quell'evento. La quota è un valore soggettivo, che il concessionario assegna ad ogni evento tramite elaborazioni statistiche, conoscenze, informazioni ecc.

Facciamo l'esempio di una partita di calcio, e sulle quote associate al risultato finale dell'incontro:

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



1,9



3,4



4



Tanto è minore la quota proposta su un evento (la vittoria dell'Arsenal ad esempio) tanto è maggiore la probabilità che questo evento si verifichi. Per ottenere la probabilità in percentuale, si deve dividere il fattore 100 per ogni quota (es. 100/1.9 = 52.6), ottenendo questi quozienti:

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



52,6



29,4



25,0



Con un rapido calcolo, è evidente che la somma dei tre quozienti, non faccia 100, ma un valore sempre più grande, che viene chiamato lavagna (o allibramento) e che rappresenta il margine di intermediazione teorico che ogni bookmaker trattiene nella formulazione delle quote, nel nostro caso: lavagna 107,04

Questo significa che le reali probabilità associate alla vittoria dell'Arsenal, al pareggio e alla vittoria del Tottenham (calcolate al netto della lavagna) saranno ottenute dividendo ulteriormente i quozienti ottenuti per la lavagna calcolata: per esempio la probabilità percentuale della vittoria dell'Arsenal è dato dall'equazione: 107,04:52,6=100:X da cui ne deriva che X= 49,1%.

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



49,1



27,5



23,4



E che il Payout teorico associato all'evento (Quello che otterrebbe in vincite lo scommettitore che puntasse su tutti gli esiti possibili dell'incontro, proporzionalmente alle quote) sarebbe il 93,42% (100/lavagna).

Le percentuali di pagamento dei giochi (RTP*)

La quota della raccolta totale restituita al giocatore sotto forma di vincite su base statistica, è pari ad almeno il 90% della raccolta stessa. In conformità con quanto previsto dall'Agenzia delle Dogane e dei Monopoli, riportiamo di seguito la tabella con i valori percentuali di pagamento (payout) mensili di ciascun gioco offerto da Betway.

*Restituzione Media al Giocatore. Il compenso del concessionario, a lordo delle imposte su base statistica, è il complemento a 1 della quota restituita al giocatore. Per esempio: se un gioco ha un RTP del 98,85%, il compenso del concessionario sarà di 1,15% ( (1- 98,85%) x 100 = 1,15%).

  

LUGLIO

Slot a 3 rulli

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

108 Heroes Multiplier Fortunes     99.51% 96.15%
Break da Bank     81.04% 95.75%
Couch Potato     73.40% 97.43%
Diamond Empire     106.92% 96.04%
Mega Money Multiplier     103.16% 96.15%
Wacky Panda   85.48%   95.94%
Wacky Panda     91.35% 95.94%
Slot a 5 rulli

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

108 Heroes     135.47% 95.56%
A Dark Matter   77.45%   96.18%
A Dark Matter     77.29% 96.18%
Action Ops: Snow and Sable     100.29% 96.03%
Adventure Palace 91.19%     96.10%
Adventure Palace     97.40% 96.10%
Age of Discovery     96.09% 96.62%
Agent Jane Blonde     91.47% 96.10%
Agent Jane Blonde Returns     96.18% 96.45%
Agent Jane Blonde Returns   98.16%   96.45%
Alaskan Fishing 111.95%     96.63%
Alaskan Fishing     90.19% 96.63%
Ancient Fortunes: Zeus     90.87% 96.02%
Ancient Fortunes: Zeus   92.68%   96.02%
Ariana     94.41% 95.48%
Astro Legends: Lyra and Erion   73.06%   96.63%
Astro Legends: Lyra and Erion     86.80% 96.63%
Aurora Wilds   93.89%   96.02%
Aurora Wilds     94.46% 96.02%
Avalon     99.58% 96.01%
Banana Odyssey   99.51%   96.31%
Banana Odyssey     89.14% 96.31%
Bar Bar Black Sheep 5 Reel 13.98%     95.32%
Bar Bar Black Sheep 5 Reel     103.34% 95.32%
Bars & Stripes 97.47%     96.10%
Basketball Star     103.70% 96.52%
Basketball Star 148.94%     96.52%
Beautiful Bones     90.91% 96.55%
Beautiful Bones   113.73%   96.55%
Big Kahuna     92.83% 96.16%
Big Kahuna - Snakes and Ladders 103.63%     95.53%
Big Top     92.29% 95.80%
Bikini Party     87.65% 97.49%
Book of Oz     102.52% 96.31%
Book of Oz Lock 'N Spin     91.29% 96.35%
Book of Oz Lock 'N Spin   99.28%   96.35%
Bookie of Odds     105.69% 96.50%
Boom Pirates     90.81% 96.03%
Break Away     103.10% 96.29%
Break Away Delux     100.79% 96.88%
Break Away Delux 100.76%     96.88%
Break da Bank Again 90.11%     95.75%
Break da Bank Again     87.25% 95.75%
Break da Bank Again - Megaspin 82.93%     95.43%
Break da Bank Again Respin     93.16% 96.58%
Bridesmaids TM     108.67% 96.71%
Burning Desire 104.82%     96.19%
Burning Desire     93.46% 96.19%
Bush Telegraph 98.05%     96.56%
Bush Telegraph     96.03% 96.56%
Candy Dreams     81.40% 96.82%
Carnaval     90.56% 95.80%
Cash Of Kingdoms     121.16% 96.28%
Cash Of Kingdoms   86.73%   96.28%
Cashanova 87.33%     96.41%
Cashapillar     95.10% 95.13%
Cashville 0.00%     95.98%
Centre Court 97.59%     95.51%
Cool Buck     94.29% 95.29%
Deck the Halls 90.32%     95.38%
Deck the Halls     95.36% 95.38%
Deco Diamonds     95.68% 96.03%
Deco Diamonds   88.67%   96.03%
Deco Diamonds Deluxe     95.13% 96.03%
Deco Diamonds Deluxe   156.45%   96.03%
Dragon Dance 20.00%     97.49%
Dragon Dance     97.93% 97.49%
Dragon Shard     94.23% 96.77%
Dragon Shard   82.14%   96.77%
Dragonz 72.70%     96.46%
Dragonz     87.85% 96.46%
Dream Date     97.01% 96.45%
Dream Date   99.25%   96.45%
Eagle's Wings 112.30%     96.47%
Eagle's Wings     97.19% 96.47%
EmotiCoins     117.22% 96.01%
EmotiCoins   75.06%   96.01%
Exotic Cats™     92.99% 96.33%
Exotic Cats™   106.79%   96.33%
Final Furlong     97.51% 96.10%
Final Furlong   83.39%   96.10%
Football Star     88.49% 96.29%
Forbidden Throne     118.21% 96.01%
Fortune Girl     118.23% 95.86%
Fortune Girl   75.10%   95.86%
Fortunium     98.18% 96.37%
Fortunium   83.17%   96.37%
Fruit vs Candy 58.15%     95.77%
Fruit vs Candy     68.70% 95.77%
Game Of Thrones TM - 15 Lines 101.85%     95.01%
Game of Thrones TM - 15 Lines     86.05% 95.01%
Game Of Thrones TM - 243 Ways 88.67%     95.00%
Game of Thrones TM - 243 Ways     106.10% 95.00%
Goldwyn’s Fairies     85.64% 96.28%
Goldwyn’s Fairies   123.29%   96.28%
Halloween     101.06% 96.01%
Happy Holidays 21.39%     96.62%
Happy Holidays     80.30% 96.62%
Highlander   123.80%   96.23%
Highlander     85.43% 96.23%
Hitman 218.82%     95.84%
Hitman     115.74% 95.84%
Holly Jolly Penguins     89.31% 96.01%
Icy Gems     88.71% 96.03%
Icy Gems   114.90%   96.03%
Immortal Romance 93.13%     96.86%
Immortal Romance     96.13% 96.86%
Isis 264.92%     95.15%
Jungle Jim – El Dorado     86.97% 96.31%
Jungle Jim and the Lost Sphinx     98.12% 96.10%-96.30%
Jungle Jim and the Lost Sphinx   85.81%   96.10%-96.30%
Jurassic World     85.09% 95.45%
Jurassic World   78.16%   95.45%
Karaoke Party 99.62%     96.10%
Karaoke Party     123.33% 96.10%
Karate Pig 94.29%     96.52%
King Tusk     103.62% 96.43%
King Tusk   92.60%   96.43%
Kings of Cash     102.74% 96.68%
Ladies Nite 98.45%     96.10%
Ladies Nite     98.56% 96.10%
Lady in Red 98.96%     96.25%
Lara Croft Temples and Tombs   91.42%   96.05%
Lara Croft Temples and Tombs     94.16% 96.05%
Le Kaffee Bar     94.80% 96.51%
Le Kaffee Bar   121.32%   96.51%
Loaded     99.80% 96.29%
Lock A Luck     103.34% 96.37%
Lock A Luck   71.62%   96.37%
Lost Vegas 51.91%     95.77%
Lost Vegas     74.33% 95.77%
Love Island     122.20% 96.39%
Lucha Legends     101.46% 96.38%
Lucha Legends   100.05%   96.38%
Lucky Firecracker     91.90% 96.19%
Lucky Firecracker   78.85%   96.19%
Lucky Little Gods     125.50% 96.75%
Lucky Little Gods   59.94%   96.75%
Lucky Witch 61.73%     96.40%
Magic of Sahara     96.28% 95.29%
Magic of Sahara   92.92%   95.29%
Mermaids Millions 115.42%     96.56%
Mermaids Millions     96.58% 96.56%
Monster Wheels   91.40%   96.04%
Moster Wheels     76.29% 96.04%
Nevada Nights     107.17% 96.10%
Nevada Nights   98.10%   96.10%
NIP     98.63% 96.10%
NIP   93.21%   96.10%
North Storm     83.64% 96.13%
North Storm   103.91%   96.13%
Oink Country Love     88.96% 96.01%
Pollen Party 92.70%     96.82%
Pollen Party     94.92% 96.82%
Pretty Kitty     95.74% 96.17%
Pure Platinum 102.27%     96.49%
Pure Platinum     99.02% 96.49%
Rabbit In The Hat     90.06% 96.61%
Rabbit In The Hat   119.23%   96.61%
Reel Gems 97.29%     96.51%
Reel Spinner 27.78%     96.38%
Reel Spinner     84.01% 96.38%
Reel Talent     73.20% 96.03%
Reel Talent   94.89%   96.03%
Retro Reels - Diamond Glitz 108.35%     96.47%
Retro Reels - Extreme Heat 61.09%     97.50%
Rhyming Reels Old King Cole 87.32%     96.15%
Rising Royals     91.76% 96.01%
Rising Royals   93.57%   96.01%
Riviera Riches     99.87% 96.51%
Robin of Sherwood™     105.33% 95.80%
Robin of Sherwood™   76.25%   95.80%
Rockabilly Wolves     87.39% 96.03%
Rockabilly Wolves   81.79%   96.03%
Romanov Riches     139.02% 96.08%
Secret Admirer 37.13%     96.08%
Secret Admirer     90.29% 96.08%
Secret Romance     93.61% 95.86%
Secret Romance   86.55%   95.86%
Sherlock of London   110.19%   96.03%
Sherlock of London     96.28% 96.03%
Shogun of Time     88.92% 96.02%
Shogun of TIme   76.53%   96.02%
Showdown Saloon     73.57% 96.16%
Silver Fang 219.59%     96.30%
Silver Fang     84.86% 96.30%
Six Acrobats     86.68% 95.43%
Six Acrobats   124.99%   95.43%
Soccer Safari 123.41%     96.54%
Spring Break 95.38%     96.10%
Spring Break     80.24% 96.10%
Starlight Kiss     97.12% 96.52%
Stash of the Titans     117.74% 95.07%
Sugar Parade     67.69% 96.56%
SunTide 64.11%     96.28%
Supe it Up     271.91% 95.22%
Sure Win     89.83% 96.29%
Tally Ho 127.13%     95.87%
Tally Ho     95.61% 95.87%
Tarzan 81.35%     96.48%
Tarzan     102.73% 96.48%
The Great Albini   28.51%   96.66%
The Great Albini     107.05% 96.66%
The Phantom of the Opera     95.86% 96.40%
The Phantom of the Opera   87.31%   96.40%
The Rat Pack 81.71%     96.14%
The Twisted Circus     94.05% 96.36%
Thunderstruck     71.75% 96.10%
Thunderstruck II 93.48%     96.65%
Thunderstruck II     93.33% 96.65%
TIki Vikings     88.69% 96.01%
Tiki Vikings   45.90%   96.01%
Tomb Raider Secret of the Sword TM 84.37%     95.22%
Tomb Raider TM 93.20%     96.56%
Tomb Raider TM     94.71% 96.56%
Tweethearts     107.37% 96.02%
Villag People Macho Moves     86.90% 96.00%
Wicked Tales: Dark Red     93.39% 96.10%
Wild Scarabs     82.42% 96.28%
Wild Scarabs   90.24%   96.28%
Win Sum Dim Sum     81.32% 96.28%
Zombie Hoard     93.68% 95.29%
Zombie Hoard   90.91%   95.29%
9 Masks of Fire   93.65%   96.24%
9 Masks of Fire     94.92% 96.24%
Double Lucky Line     92.80% 96.02%
Double Lucky Line   90.12%   96.02%
Ivory Citadel   117.34%   96.03%
Long Mu Fortunes   78.99%   96.44%
Long Mu Fortunes     124.11% 96.44%
Playboy Gold Jackpots     94.25% 96.08%
Playboy Gold Jackpots   88.29%   96.08%
Stumpy McDoodles   95.56%   96.26%
Thunderstruck   108.27%   96.10%
Tiki Mania   50.00%   96.26%
Tiki Mania     103.70% 96.26%
Action Ops: Snow and Sable   97.17%   96.03%
Book of Oz   107.45%   96.31%
Bookie of Odds   87.59%   96.50%
Break da bank Again Respin   91.18%   96.58%
Festive Indulgence     89.62% 96.10%
Wicked Tales: Dark Red   81.30%   96.10%
Festive Indulgence   85.66%   96.10%
Book of Atem     95.75%  
Book of Atem   92.08%    
Fishing Fever     84.75%  
Fishing Fever   110.19%    
Wonder Woods     92.94%  
Wonder Woods   89.60%    
9 Pots of Gold   95.45%    
African Quest   99.03%    
African Quest     92.22%  
Attack on Retro   87.60%    
Attack on Retro     102.95%  
Diamond Force   99.11%    
Lady Earth     91.52%  
Lady Earth   100.02%    
Mining Fever   102.08%    
Mining Fever     103.78%  
The Vault   118.22%    
Treasure Heroes     104.38%  
Treasure Heroes   90.47%    
Treasure Skyland   96.14%    
9 Pots of Gold     93.89%  
Boom Pirates   89.42%   96.03%
Centre Court     96.97% 95.51%
Ivory Citadel     89.60% 96.03%
Stumpy McDoodles     93.31% 96.26%
Tweethearts   93.87%   96.02%
Avalon 97.28%     96.01%
11 Champions     97.02%  
11 Champions   91.41%    
All Win FC     84.94%  
All Win FC   76.01%    
Arena of Gold   98.87%    
Arena of Gold     95.13%  
Arthurs Gold     91.28%  
Arthurs Gold   93.67%    
Aurora Beast Hunter   98.45%    
Aurora Beast Hunter     98.61%  
Diamond Force     14.57%  
SunTide     90.14% 96.28%
The Vault     96.42%  
Treasure Skyland     88.05%  
Bar Bar Black Sheep - 5 Reel   103.85%    
Bikini Party   107.08%   97.49%
Dragon Dance   98.66%   97.49%
Pretty Kitty   176.05%   96.17%
Reel Spinner   87.39%   96.38%
Relic Seekers 5420.00%     96.03%
SunTide   90.02%   96.28%
Village People Macho Moves   145.00%   96.00%
Win Sum Dim Sum   121.23%   96.28%
Break da Bank Again   122.72%   95.75%
Burning Desire   102.89%   96.19%
Immortal Romance   97.73%   96.86%
Ladies Nite   84.84%   96.10%
Mermaids Millions   86.44%   96.56%
Thunderstruck II   96.47%   96.65%
Slot a 6 rulli

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Arctic Valor     88.10% 96.70%
Arctic Valor   120.85%   96.70%
Playboy Gold     120.90% 96.01%
Queen Of The Crystal Rays     93.52% 96.70%
Queen Of The Crystal Rays   97.24%   96.70%
Playboy Gold   0.00%   96.01%
Electric Avenue     100.63%  
Electric Avenue   81.23%    
Extra Chilli     69.83% 96.82%
Blackjack

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

European Blackjack Gold     99.07% 99.60%
Single Deck Blackjack Gold 93.80%     99.69%
Vegas Single Deck Blackjack Gold     87.13% 99.69%
Double Exposure Gold 109.52%      
European Blackjack Switch     92.76% 99.60%
European Blackjack Switch   88.90%   99.60%
Ad espansione

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Seven 7s     99.23%  
Seven 7s   80.63%    
Giochi con Live Dealer

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Evolution - Baccarat     100.29% 98.90%
Evolution - Blackjack     99.07% 99.28%
Evolution - Caribbean Stud Poker     96.69% 99.30%
Evolution - Casino Holdem     95.21% 97.84%
Evolution - Double Ball Roulette     50.24% 97.30%
Evolution - Double Ball Roulette   95.36%   97.30%
Evolution - Dragon Tiger     97.24% 96.27%
Evolution - Dream Catcher     99.92% 99.55%
Evolution - French Roulette     93.60% 98.65%
Evolution - Lightning Roulette     91.38% 97.10%- 97.30%
Evolution - Lightning Roulette   93.03%   97.10%- 97.30%
Evolution - No Commission Baccarat     122.42% 98.76%
Evolution - Roulette     98.22% 97.30%
Evolution - Texas Holdem Bonus Poker     93.56% 91.46%
Evolution - Three Card Poker     99.44% 96.63%
Football Studio   145.95%   96.27%
Football Studio     96.93% 96.27%
HD - Dream Catcher 79.13%     96.58%
HD Live Baccarat 94.20%     98.94%
HD Live Blackjack 96.28%     99.28%
HD Live Casino Holdem 94.99%     97.84%
HD Live French Roulette 93.28%     98.65%
HD Live Roulette 98.43%     97.30%
Evolution - MONOPOLY Live     88.03%  
Evolution - Deal or No Deal     102.84%  
Evolution - Deal or No Deal   77.37%    
Evolution - Free Bet Blackjack   112.69%    
Evolution - Free Bet Blackjack     99.30%  
Evolution - MONOPOLY Live   114.42%    
Evolution - Super Sic Bo     102.66%  
Evolution - Super Sic Bo   34.75%    
HD Live Three Card Poker 89.23%     96.63%
HD Live Caribbean Stud Poker 93.51%     96.30%
Evolution - No Commission Baccarat   77.42%   98.76%
Giochi di società

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Cricket Star Scratchcard   88.24%   95.04%
Cricket Star Scratchcard     107.23% 95.04%
Immortal Romance Scratchcard   86.16%   96.01%
Immortal Romance Scratchcard     83.67% 96.01%
Lucky Leprechaun Scratchcard     92.80% 96.05%
Lucky Leprechaun Scratchcard   181.42%   96.05%
Nevada Nights Scratchcard     69.80% 95.04%
Nevada Nights Scratchcard   93.97%   95.04%
Lost Vegas Survivor Scratchcard     89.47% 96.00%
Lost Vegas Survivors Scratchcard   76.90%   96.00%
Lost Vegas Zombie Scratchcard   98.76%   96.00%
Lost Vegas Zombies Scratchcard     77.81% 96.00%
Avalon Scratch     102.17%  
Avalon Scratch   93.48%    

 

Roulette

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

American Roulette 2018     86.67% 94.74%
American Roulette 2018   95.99%   94.74%
Roulette     96.88% 97.30%
Roulette   97.13%   97.30%
Sapphire Roulette     91.61% 97.30%
Sapphire Roulette   93.23%   97.30%
European Roulette Gold     95.22% 98.92%
Video Poker

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Aces and Faces Poker     98.02% 99.26%
All Aces     95.34% 99.92%
All Aces   89.15%   99.92%
Deuces Wild     83.51% 96.76%
Wincrease

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

The Incredible Balloon Machine     90.86%  
The Incredible Balloon Machine   96.84%    
4 Reel Slots

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Ancient Warriors     102.18%  
Ancient Warriors   96.66%    

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