Probabilità di Vincita

Per garantire piena trasparenza e in conformità al decreto legge Balduzzi del 13 settembre 2012 n. 158 convertito con modifiche dalla legge dell'8 novembre 2012 n. 189, Betway indica le modalità con cui sono determinate le probabilità di vincita riguardanti le scommesse sportive a quota fissa offerte. A differenza dei giochi di sorte tradizionali, in cui la probabilità di vincita è nota in partenza, nelle scommesse a quota fissa, è la quota assegnata ad un evento ad esprimere la probabilitá che si verifichi quell'evento. La quota è un valore soggettivo, che il concessionario assegna ad ogni evento tramite elaborazioni statistiche, conoscenze, informazioni ecc.

Facciamo l'esempio di una partita di calcio, e sulle quote associate al risultato finale dell'incontro:

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



1,9



3,4



4



Tanto è minore la quota proposta su un evento (la vittoria dell'Arsenal ad esempio) tanto è maggiore la probabilità che questo evento si verifichi. Per ottenere la probabilità in percentuale, si deve dividere il fattore 100 per ogni quota (es. 100/1.9 = 52.6), ottenendo questi quozienti:

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



52,6



29,4



25,0



Con un rapido calcolo, è evidente che la somma dei tre quozienti, non faccia 100, ma un valore sempre più grande, che viene chiamato lavagna (o allibramento) e che rappresenta il margine di intermediazione teorico che ogni bookmaker trattiene nella formulazione delle quote, nel nostro caso: lavagna 107,04

Questo significa che le reali probabilità associate alla vittoria dell'Arsenal, al pareggio e alla vittoria del Tottenham (calcolate al netto della lavagna) saranno ottenute dividendo ulteriormente i quozienti ottenuti per la lavagna calcolata: per esempio la probabilità percentuale della vittoria dell'Arsenal è dato dall'equazione: 107,04:52,6=100:X da cui ne deriva che X= 49,1%.

  1



X



2



Arsenal-Tottenham



49,1



27,5



23,4



E che il Payout teorico associato all'evento (Quello che otterrebbe in vincite lo scommettitore che puntasse su tutti gli esiti possibili dell'incontro, proporzionalmente alle quote) sarebbe il 93,42% (100/lavagna).

Le percentuali di pagamento dei giochi (RTP*)

La quota della raccolta totale restituita al giocatore sotto forma di vincite su base statistica, è pari ad almeno il 90% della raccolta stessa. In conformità con quanto previsto dall'Agenzia delle Dogane e dei Monopoli, riportiamo di seguito la tabella con i valori percentuali di pagamento (payout) mensili di ciascun gioco offerto da Betway.

*Restituzione Media al Giocatore. Il compenso del concessionario, a lordo delle imposte su base statistica, è il complemento a 1 della quota restituita al giocatore. Per esempio: se un gioco ha un RTP del 98,85%, il compenso del concessionario sarà di 1,15% ( (1- 98,85%) x 100 = 1,15%).

  

LUGLIO

Slot a 3 rulli

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

108 Heroes Multiplier Fortunes     86.85% 96.15%
Break da Bank     88.03% 95.75%
Couch Potato     80.78% 97.43%
Diamond Empire     89.03% 96.04%
Mega Money Multiplier     79.73% 96.15%
Wacky Panda   101.68%   95.94%
Wacky Panda     86.91% 95.94%
Slot a 5 rulli

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

108 Heroes     111.59% 95.56%
A Dark Matter   99.63%   96.18%
A Dark Matter     98.44% 96.18%
Action Ops: Snow and Sable     96.75% 96.03%
Adventure Palace 86.51%     96.10%
Adventure Palace     96.81% 96.10%
Age of Discovery     79.50% 96.62%
Agent Jane Blonde     93.39% 96.10%
Agent Jane Blonde Returns     93.63% 96.45%
Agent Jane Blonde Returns   93.27%   96.45%
Alaskan Fishing     108.54% 96.63%
Ancient Fortunes: Zeus     89.68% 96.02%
Ancient Fortunes: Zeus   87.08%   96.02%
Ariana     104.96% 95.48%
Astro Legends: Lyra and Erion   82.36%   96.63%
Astro Legends: Lyra and Erion     99.70% 96.63%
Aurora Wilds   99.82%   96.02%
Aurora Wilds     95.09% 96.02%
Avalon     95.89% 96.01%
Banana Odyssey   88.94%   96.31%
Banana Odyssey     96.70% 96.31%
Bar Bar Black Sheep 5 Reel 104.76%     95.32%
Bar Bar Black Sheep 5 Reel     97.49% 95.32%
Bars & Stripes 98.75%     96.10%
Basketball Star     95.89% 96.52%
Basketball Star 56.26%     96.52%
Beautiful Bones     105.70% 96.55%
Beautiful Bones   90.33%   96.55%
Big Kahuna     96.37% 96.16%
Big Kahuna - Snakes and Ladders 47.41%     95.53%
Big Top     92.46% 95.80%
Bikini Party     114.24% 97.49%
Book of Oz     94.56% 96.31%
Book of Oz Lock 'N Spin     92.50% 96.35%
Book of Oz Lock 'N Spin   88.79%   96.35%
Bookie of Odds     90.24% 96.50%
Boom Pirates     95.34% 96.03%
Break Away     87.12% 96.29%
Break Away Delux     92.99% 96.88%
Break Away Delux 90.68%     96.88%
Break da Bank Again 129.87%     95.75%
Break da Bank Again     90.94% 95.75%
Break da Bank Again - Megaspin 79.11%     95.43%
Break da Bank Again Respin     90.08% 96.58%
Bridesmaids TM     102.97% 96.71%
Burning Desire 86.50%     96.19%
Burning Desire     94.86% 96.19%
Bush Telegraph 109.24%     96.56%
Bush Telegraph     86.71% 96.56%
Candy Dreams     110.00% 96.82%
Carnaval     95.10% 95.80%
Cash Of Kingdoms     80.66% 96.28%
Cash Of Kingdoms   107.02%   96.28%
Cashanova 83.02%     96.41%
Cashapillar     85.12% 95.13%
Cashville 143.49%     95.98%
Centre Court 144.22%     95.51%
Cool Buck     87.05% 95.29%
Deck the Halls     94.34% 95.38%
Deco Diamonds     97.20% 96.03%
Deco Diamonds   90.21%   96.03%
Deco Diamonds Deluxe     100.34% 96.03%
Deco Diamonds Deluxe   90.87%   96.03%
Dragon Dance     86.47% 97.49%
Dragon Shard     89.75% 96.77%
Dragon Shard   83.38%   96.77%
Dragonz 75.29%     96.46%
Dragonz     86.09% 96.46%
Dream Date     84.63% 96.45%
Dream Date   90.14%   96.45%
Eagle's Wings     95.56% 96.47%
EmotiCoins     109.02% 96.01%
EmotiCoins   104.56%   96.01%
Exotic Cats™     100.20% 96.33%
Exotic Cats™   100.48%   96.33%
Final Furlong     111.49% 96.10%
Final Furlong   92.27%   96.10%
Football Star     111.65% 96.29%
Forbidden Throne     98.12% 96.01%
Fortune Girl     94.26% 95.86%
Fortune Girl   81.38%   95.86%
Fortunium     98.87% 96.37%
Fortunium   87.24%   96.37%
Fruit vs Candy 124.22%     95.77%
Fruit vs Candy     87.28% 95.77%
Game Of Thrones TM - 15 Lines 144.18%     95.01%
Game of Thrones TM - 15 Lines     58.20% 95.01%
Game Of Thrones TM - 243 Ways 78.77%     95.00%
Game of Thrones TM - 243 Ways     98.62% 95.00%
Goldwyn’s Fairies     84.94% 96.28%
Goldwyn’s Fairies   107.95%   96.28%
Halloween     85.68% 96.01%
Happy Holidays 37.90%     96.62%
Happy Holidays     82.01% 96.62%
Highlander   105.43%   96.23%
Highlander     135.24% 96.23%
Hitman     84.36% 95.84%
Holly Jolly Penguins     76.62% 96.01%
Icy Gems     79.31% 96.03%
Icy Gems   101.54%   96.03%
Immortal Romance 89.71%     96.86%
Immortal Romance     95.07% 96.86%
Isis 93.61%     95.15%
Jungle Jim – El Dorado     91.52% 96.31%
Jungle Jim and the Lost Sphinx     92.73% 96.10%-96.30%
Jungle Jim and the Lost Sphinx   100.34%   96.10%-96.30%
Jurassic World     77.13% 95.45%
Jurassic World   100.87%   95.45%
Karaoke Party 88.36%     96.10%
Karaoke Party     121.31% 96.10%
Karate Pig 69.66%     96.52%
King Tusk     95.59% 96.43%
King Tusk   99.00%   96.43%
Kings of Cash     90.35% 96.68%
Ladies Nite 102.33%     96.10%
Ladies Nite     91.41% 96.10%
Lady in Red 91.23%     96.25%
Lara Croft Temples and Tombs   93.03%   96.05%
Lara Croft Temples and Tombs     95.50% 96.05%
Le Kaffee Bar     95.49% 96.51%
Le Kaffee Bar   77.42%   96.51%
Loaded     101.43% 96.29%
Lock A Luck     110.34% 96.37%
Lock A Luck   82.85%   96.37%
Lost Vegas 86.32%     95.77%
Lost Vegas     80.67% 95.77%
Love Island     118.57% 96.39%
Lucha Legends     95.78% 96.38%
Lucha Legends   79.54%   96.38%
Lucky Firecracker     97.15% 96.19%
Lucky Firecracker   83.90%   96.19%
Lucky Little Gods     61.17% 96.75%
Lucky Little Gods   75.62%   96.75%
Lucky Witch 12.89%     96.40%
Magic of Sahara     79.53% 95.29%
Magic of Sahara   82.79%   95.29%
Mermaids Millions 103.17%     96.56%
Mermaids Millions     91.96% 96.56%
Monster Wheels   85.86%   96.04%
Moster Wheels     111.72% 96.04%
Nevada Nights     80.66% 96.10%
Nevada Nights   89.37%   96.10%
NIP     92.18% 96.10%
NIP   109.41%   96.10%
North Storm     84.96% 96.13%
North Storm   82.95%   96.13%
Oink Country Love     100.71% 96.01%
Pollen Party 86.86%     96.82%
Pollen Party     90.17% 96.82%
Pretty Kitty     85.22% 96.17%
Pure Platinum 114.59%     96.49%
Pure Platinum     107.70% 96.49%
Rabbit In The Hat     93.84% 96.61%
Rabbit In The Hat   96.11%   96.61%
Reel Gems 70.07%     96.51%
Reel Spinner 40.91%     96.38%
Reel Spinner     105.68% 96.38%
Reel Talent     106.24% 96.03%
Reel Talent   88.21%   96.03%
Rhyming Reels Old King Cole 88.60%     96.15%
Rising Royals     102.72% 96.01%
Rising Royals   102.02%   96.01%
Riviera Riches     96.07% 96.51%
Robin of Sherwood™     97.08% 95.80%
Robin of Sherwood™   86.93%   95.80%
Rockabilly Wolves     98.91% 96.03%
Rockabilly Wolves   102.65%   96.03%
Romanov Riches     74.35% 96.08%
Secret Admirer     110.63% 96.08%
Secret Romance     93.41% 95.86%
Secret Romance   98.81%   95.86%
Sherlock of London   86.79%   96.03%
Sherlock of London     87.96% 96.03%
Shogun of Time     73.72% 96.02%
Shogun of TIme   85.42%   96.02%
Showdown Saloon     96.87% 96.16%
Silver Fang 62.03%     96.30%
Silver Fang     104.69% 96.30%
Six Acrobats     103.46% 95.43%
Six Acrobats   87.85%   95.43%
Soccer Safari 97.11%     96.54%
Spring Break 94.11%     96.10%
Spring Break     68.27% 96.10%
Starlight Kiss     94.39% 96.52%
Stash of the Titans     92.36% 95.07%
Sugar Parade     85.64% 96.56%
Supe it Up     183.82% 95.22%
Sure Win     98.45% 96.29%
Tally Ho 60.87%     95.87%
Tally Ho     90.92% 95.87%
Tarzan 103.10%     96.48%
Tarzan     88.25% 96.48%
The Great Albini   81.53%   96.66%
The Great Albini     74.62% 96.66%
The Phantom of the Opera     102.58% 96.40%
The Phantom of the Opera   112.01%   96.40%
The Rat Pack 120.15%     96.14%
The Twisted Circus     97.15% 96.36%
Thunderstruck     48.10% 96.10%
Thunderstruck II 98.02%     96.65%
Thunderstruck II     100.15% 96.65%
TIki Vikings     99.82% 96.01%
Tiki Vikings   115.67%   96.01%
Tomb Raider TM 101.86%     96.56%
Tomb Raider TM     102.43% 96.56%
Tweethearts     90.45% 96.02%
Villag People Macho Moves     87.35% 96.00%
Wicked Tales: Dark Red     99.87% 96.10%
Wild Scarabs     97.16% 96.28%
Wild Scarabs   94.68%   96.28%
Win Sum Dim Sum     103.50% 96.28%
Zombie Hoard     90.79% 95.29%
Zombie Hoard   98.64%   95.29%
9 Masks of Fire   91.04%   96.24%
9 Masks of Fire     96.39% 96.24%
Double Lucky Line     100.67% 96.02%
Double Lucky Line   95.37%   96.02%
Ivory Citadel   105.66%   96.03%
Long Mu Fortunes   84.49%   96.44%
Long Mu Fortunes     116.61% 96.44%
Playboy Gold Jackpots     96.31% 96.08%
Playboy Gold Jackpots   94.83%   96.08%
Stumpy McDoodles   95.95%   96.26%
Thunderstruck   101.71%   96.10%
Tiki Mania   59.13%   96.26%
Tiki Mania     92.41% 96.26%
Action Ops: Snow and Sable   80.62%   96.03%
Book of Oz   93.63%   96.31%
Bookie of Odds   94.74%   96.50%
Break da bank Again Respin   103.06%   96.58%
Festive Indulgence     93.70% 96.10%
Wicked Tales: Dark Red   86.34%   96.10%
Festive Indulgence   92.69%   96.10%
Book of Atem     95.72%  
Book of Atem   94.98%    
Fishing Fever     91.30%  
Fishing Fever   96.48%    
Wonder Woods     96.40%  
Wonder Woods   92.22%    
9 Pots of Gold   95.37%    
African Quest   95.13%    
African Quest     87.59%  
Attack on Retro   83.38%    
Attack on Retro     80.22%  
Diamond Force   97.10%    
Lady Earth     94.42%  
Lady Earth   90.47%    
Mining Fever   92.95%    
Mining Fever     92.47%  
The Vault   90.88%    
Treasure Heroes     84.03%  
Treasure Heroes   89.47%    
Treasure Skyland   102.38%    
9 Pots of Gold     90.67%  
Boom Pirates   97.66%   96.03%
Centre Court     74.24% 95.51%
Ivory Citadel     98.45% 96.03%
Stumpy McDoodles     94.06% 96.26%
Tweethearts   83.02%   96.02%
Avalon 58.21%     96.01%
11 Champions     93.24%  
11 Champions   92.74%    
All Win FC     106.94%  
All Win FC   102.08%    
Arena of Gold   98.72%    
Arena of Gold     98.61%  
Arthurs Gold     89.32%  
Arthurs Gold   94.84%    
Aurora Beast Hunter   81.91%    
Aurora Beast Hunter     94.00%  
Diamond Force     88.19%  
SunTide     121.18% 96.28%
The Vault     80.59%  
Treasure Skyland     95.58%  
Bar Bar Black Sheep - 5 Reel   93.72%    
Bikini Party   72.20%   97.49%
Dragon Dance   97.77%   97.49%
Pretty Kitty   124.19%   96.17%
Reel Spinner   88.34%   96.38%
SunTide   124.06%   96.28%
Village People Macho Moves   81.50%   96.00%
Win Sum Dim Sum   92.85%   96.28%
Break da Bank Again   89.35%   95.75%
Burning Desire   91.89%   96.19%
Immortal Romance   96.22%   96.86%
Ladies Nite   96.92%   96.10%
Mermaids Millions   91.80%   96.56%
Thunderstruck II   95.32%   96.65%
777 Royal Wheel     81.70%  
777 Royal Wheel   91.04%    
Aliya's Wishes   95.73%    
Aliya's Wishes     92.86%  
Almighty Aztec     95.31%  
Almighty Aztec   98.76%    
Anderthals     108.34%  
Anderthals   144.17%    
Aquatic Treasures     75.09%  
Aquatic Treasures   89.06%    
Big Top 96.34%     95.80%
Carnaval 69.02%     95.80%
Crazy Chameleons 61.25%     96.07%
deadmau5     89.49%  
deadmau5   96.28%    
Diamond Inferno     94.38%  
Diamond Inferno   100.32%    
Jurassic Park TM 42.12%     96.67%
Lucky Leprechaun   65.16%   96.33%
Playboy     23.70% 96.54%
Playboy Fortunes     93.72%  
Playboy Fortunes   93.18%    
Reel Gems Deluxe     100.76%  
Reel Gems Deluxe   102.90%    
Santa's Wild Ride 143.42%     96.47%
Sisters of Oz: Jackpots   89.27%    
Sisters of Oz: Jackpots     94.15%  
Spectre Estate     92.94%  
Spectre Estate   93.43%    
Stellar Portals     96.40%  
Stellar Portals   88.69%    
SunQuest 63.89%     96.95%
Tarzan and the Jewels of Opar     91.77%  
Tarzan and the Jewels of Opar   95.25%    
Terminator II TM 56.51%     96.62%
Three Tiny Gods     94.65%  
Three Tiny Gods   89.97%    
Western Gold     97.61%  
Western Gold   96.19%    
Wild Catch     90.42%  
Wild Catch   98.87%    
Slot a 6 rulli

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Arctic Valor     85.98% 96.70%
Arctic Valor   105.71%   96.70%
Playboy Gold     82.44% 96.01%
Queen Of The Crystal Rays     95.94% 96.70%
Queen Of The Crystal Rays   79.89%   96.70%
Playboy Gold   92.76%   96.01%
Electric Avenue     97.13%  
Electric Avenue   82.19%    
Banana Drop     98.01%  
Banana Drop   99.51%    
Blackjack

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

European Blackjack Gold     93.66% 99.60%
Single Deck Blackjack Gold 98.72%     99.69%
Vegas Single Deck Blackjack Gold     100.52% 99.69%
European Blackjack Switch     93.89% 99.60%
European Blackjack Switch   96.13%   99.60%
Ad espansione

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Seven 7s     101.14%  
Seven 7s   102.44%    
Giochi con Live Dealer

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Evolution - Baccarat     102.96% 98.90%
Evolution - Blackjack     93.51% 99.28%
Evolution - Casino Holdem     90.71% 97.84%
Evolution - Double Ball Roulette     146.21% 97.30%
Evolution - Double Ball Roulette   74.57%   97.30%
Evolution - Dragon Tiger     126.84% 96.27%
Evolution - Dream Catcher     59.12% 99.55%
Evolution - French Roulette     93.75% 98.65%
Evolution - Lightning Roulette     95.88% 97.10%- 97.30%
Evolution - Lightning Roulette   98.63%   97.10%- 97.30%
Evolution - No Commission Baccarat     160.00% 98.76%
Evolution - Roulette     99.31% 97.30%
Evolution - Texas Holdem Bonus Poker     0.00% 91.46%
Evolution - Three Card Poker     40.51% 96.63%
Football Studio   93.14%   96.27%
Football Studio     97.84% 96.27%
HD - Dream Catcher 87.41%     96.58%
HD Live Baccarat 104.80%     98.94%
HD Live Blackjack 96.32%     99.28%
HD Live Casino Holdem 89.20%     97.84%
HD Live French Roulette 95.52%     98.65%
HD Live Roulette 92.32%     97.30%
Evolution - MONOPOLY Live     80.36%  
Evolution - Deal or No Deal     86.92%  
Evolution - Deal or No Deal   81.53%    
Evolution - Free Bet Blackjack   98.55%    
Evolution - Free Bet Blackjack     94.44%  
Evolution - MONOPOLY Live   92.07%    
Evolution - Super Sic Bo     85.67%  
Evolution - Super Sic Bo   34.46%    
HD Live Three Card Poker 44.44%     96.63%
HD Live Caribbean Stud Poker 108.72%     96.30%
Evolution - No Commission Baccarat   144.93%   98.76%
Evolution - Dragon Tiger   77.67%   96.27%
Evolution - Texas Holdem Bonus Poker   88.93%   91.46%
Giochi di società

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Cricket Star Scratchcard   82.15%   95.04%
Cricket Star Scratchcard     75.60% 95.04%
Immortal Romance Scratchcard   95.48%   96.01%
Immortal Romance Scratchcard     94.32% 96.01%
Lucky Leprechaun Scratchcard     92.59% 96.05%
Lucky Leprechaun Scratchcard   101.92%   96.05%
Nevada Nights Scratchcard     73.78% 95.04%
Nevada Nights Scratchcard   45.04%   95.04%
Lost Vegas Survivor Scratchcard     68.04% 96.00%
Lost Vegas Survivors Scratchcard   115.67%   96.00%
Lost Vegas Zombie Scratchcard   75.82%   96.00%
Lost Vegas Zombies Scratchcard     115.77% 96.00%
Avalon Scratch     89.12%  
Avalon Scratch   77.27%    
Roulette

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

American Roulette 2018     98.34% 94.74%
American Roulette 2018   93.12%   94.74%
Roulette     99.51% 97.30%
Roulette   95.81%   97.30%
Sapphire Roulette     98.18% 97.30%
Sapphire Roulette   92.18%   97.30%
European Roulette Gold     100.98% 98.92%
French Roulette 116.67%     98.65%
Video Poker

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Aces and Faces Poker     98.50% 99.26%
Deuces Wild     90.33% 96.76%
Aces and Faces 77.78%     99.26%
Deuces and Joker Multihand 71.48%     99.07%

F

Wincrease

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

The Incredible Balloon Machine     101.64%  
The Incredible Balloon Machine   93.97%    
4 Reel Slots

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Ancient Warriors     95.33%  
Ancient Warriors   100.52%    
SicBo

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

Sic Bo Switch     86.75%  
Sic Bo Switch   79.17%    
Baccarat

Gioco

Flash

HTML5 Desktop

HTML5 Mobile

Percentuale RTP*

No Commission Baccarat Switch     100.00%  
No Commission Baccarat Switch   66.67%    

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